Week 11 Picks

Always good to be right in the Thursday night game. On with the rest of this week's picks.

Home team in CAPS
Lines courtesy of sportsbetting.com

Oakland (+7.5) over PITTSBURGH

Oakland is a legitimate threat and this line is just too high to ignore. No one should be giving more than a touchdown against Oakland. Congrats Raider fans.

NEW YORK JETS (-6.5) over HOUSTON

Great defense beats great offense, especially when that great offense has a wounded QB.

Baltimore (-11.5) over CAROLINA

Nothing about this matchup indicates anything short of a blow out. Third string QB, third string RB, worst team in the league versus arguably its best. I'd take Baltimore even if the line was 17.

TENNESSEE (-7) over Washington

If the Eagles can embarrass the Skins like they did on Monday, so can the Titans.

Green Bay (-3.5) over MINNESOTA

Despite all the injuries, Green Bay is still playing good football and it is a true testament to the mighty Aaron Rodgers. Minnesota on the other hand, is left with old man Favre, and its just sad at this point. I don't think his last chance against his former team will end well for him.

Buffalo (+5) over CINCINNATI

Two bad teams, take the points. Very simple philosophy but it works often enough. Congrats on the win last week Buffalo!

Cleveland (+2) over JACKSONVILLE

I just like Cleveland as a better team. I don't trust the Jags, at all.

Arizona (+8.5) over KANSAS CITY

KC is sliding down the mediocrity avalanche and they are still getting 8 and a half. I'll take those points. They have proven to be nothing special the past few weeks, and that is a huge number.

NEW ORLEANS (-12) over Seattle

Again, a game with a huge number, but I think the Saints are playing well and the Hawks aren't at all (unless they are playing a division game in the horrible NFC West.) This has blowout written all over it.

SAN FRANCISCO (-3.5) over Tampa Bay

Another team playing good football against one who has overachieved a bit. I happen to like this Troy Smith era in San Fran, and maybe, just maybe, they can still win their division. A sad, sad statement, but its entirely possible for them to be a game out after this week.

NEW ENGLAND (-4) over Indianapolis

Indy is banged up, can't run the ball, can't stop the run, and basically has no one other than Peyton Manning..... BUT since they do have Manning, that means they could definitely pull this off. Its an absolute gambling stay away, but there is too much going in New England's favor here, and they just don't lose regular season games at home.

Denver (+9.5) over SAN DIEGO

If I'm wrong, its ok, because I will just feel vindicated that this San Diego team is that good, and my 12-1 Super Bowl bet on them was a good investment. I like San Diego to win, but a closer game than the line suggests.

Second Runner-up Lock of the Week

Detroit (+6.5) over DALLAS

So the Cowboys beat an overrated Giants team and they start getting treated like they are good? Please! Detroit is always a good bet to take the points, why stray from that now?

First Runner-up Lock of the Week

PHILADELPHIA (-3) over New York Giants

Did you see the Monday night game???? Vick was like the bionic man out there! The Giants are going to have their hands full with him, considering they couldn't even handle Jon Kitna. Unless Vick gets hurt, I think the Eagles roll here.

LOCK OF THE WEEK

Atlanta (-3.5) over ST. LOUIS

I am obviously a firm believer in this Atlanta team, and they will be well rested and ready to go against a St. Louis team that has been a bit of an overachiever this season. Atlanta shuts them up in a hurry.

Last Week: 8-6
Overall: 77-61-6
Lock Picks: 14-14-2